Headlines around the world are currently predicting another covid related crisis. This time it is an evictions crisis. As courts reopen and landlords are once again allowed to enforce their leases and property rights, evictions, it is said are going to throw hundreds of thousands into the streets. The homeless will be everywhere, from New York and across America, to London and Toronto.
Will hundreds of thousands of evictions be filed? Maybe. Will every single one of them proceed to an actual set out? Doubtful. In our company’s experience, most eviction cases are worked out before they ever get to court. Tenants start paying again work outs are made or tenants move on to somewhere else.
Yes, some folks are having a hard time paying the rent these days, we have seen it in our business. We have had to work with some tenants and let others move on because they simply could not afford their apartment after a job loss. But most tenants are keeping up with their side of the deal. In fact, stats from around the country show that above 85% are paying their rent and that number is only slightly below what was collected a year ago before all of this covid mess began. These states and my own anecdotal evidence make an eviction crisis appear to be far from imminent.
Nevertheless, the press is touting that a crisis of evictions is looming. As a result, my guess is that politicians are going to use this as an opportunity to respond. How? They will respond in two ways. First, where they can they will extend eviction moratoriums. Just keep the courts closed and problem solved.
Landlords, knowing that they do not have the courts to aid them, will in response elevate their screening methods and techniques. Landlords will work harder to keep potential deadbeat tenants out so that the need to go to eviction court declines.
This increased scrutiny by landlords toward potential tenants will lead the politicians to their second response, they will go after screening techniques. They will make the connection between lack of court enforcement and the increased screening done as a result. Politicians will then claim that landlords are denying people adequate housing. They will move to solve a problem which they created in the first place by closing the courts. They will make it harder for you to screen by expanding the scope of protected classes for example. Or they will work to ban screening techniques such as criminal background checks with “Ban the Box” initiatives.
The covid crisis has and will allow politicians to turn the ratchet tighter on landlords. Even when the crisis subsides, do not expect things to be completely loosened and returned to where they were. History shows that once tightened, things are never again loosened completely.
Kevin Perk is the founder and publisher of Smarterlandlording.com. He is the author of Advice From Experience To New Real Estate Investors. Subscribe to Smarterlandlording here. Contact Kevin here.
Very well stated and truthful. There is an agenda here and it’s not what they want you to believe. The press and politicians are trying to create another crisis and this time landlords are being made the “bad guy.”